HB II vs FS Vágar 2004 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HB II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
HBT
2 - 1
LIF
44%
24%
33%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
IFF
4 - 1
HBT
66%
19%
16%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
HBT
4 - 1
SOR
64%
19%
17%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
VAG
1 - 5
HBT
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
HBT
0 - 2
ARG
25%
23%
52%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
FS Vágar 2004
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
VAG
1 - 1
IFF
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
TOF
2 - 1
VAG
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
SEG
1 - 0
VAG
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
VAG
5 - 1
KIK
52%
22%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2006 |
ARG
4 - 1
VAG
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -2 |