HB II vs FS Vágar 2004 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
45.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HB II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2006 |
ARG
4 - 2
HBT
75%
16%
10%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2006 |
KIK
1 - 0
HBT
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
HBT
0 - 2
TVO
53%
22%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Jun. 2006 |
SAN
7 - 0
HBT
79%
13%
8%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
HBT
1 - 0
LIF
37%
23%
39%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
FS Vágar 2004
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2006 |
VAG
1 - 2
TVO
63%
20%
18%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2006 |
SAN
2 - 1
VAG
60%
20%
19%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
VAG
0 - 2
LIF
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
SOR
2 - 1
VAG
25%
24%
51%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
VAG
3 - 1
KIK
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |