FA Cup 1/256
Global 4-4
Hayes & Yeading United vs Dorking Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
27.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hayes & Yeading United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
DOR
2 - 2
HAY
39%
23%
38%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
DOR
0 - 1
HAY
6%
14%
80%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
HAY
3 - 2
WHI
78%
14%
8%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MET
1 - 1
HAY
21%
22%
57%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
HAY
5 - 0
TON
68%
19%
14%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Dorking Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
DOR
2 - 2
HAY
39%
23%
38%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
DOR
4 - 1
BAT
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
DOR
1 - 0
WES
70%
17%
13%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
TON
3 - 1
DOR
22%
23%
55%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BUR
0 - 4
DOR
12%
19%
69%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | +1 |