Hayes & Yeading United vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
34.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hayes & Yeading United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
BRO
1 - 0
HAY
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
STA
1 - 1
HAY
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
NEW
1 - 5
HAY
47%
24%
30%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
HAY
2 - 1
HAV
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
HAY
3 - 4
FIS
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
CHM
2 - 3
BAT
63%
21%
15%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
MAI
0 - 2
CHM
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
CHM
3 - 2
AFC
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2008 |
CHM
3 - 3
BIS
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
FIS
0 - 1
CHM
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |