Hawks vs Samger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
29.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
REA
2 - 1
HAW
47%
28%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
SER
1 - 1
HAW
38%
32%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
TAL
1 - 2
HAW
48%
28%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
GAM
0 - 0
HAW
45%
29%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
HAW
1 - 0
BRI
38%
31%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Samger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
STE
2 - 3
SAM
37%
31%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
REA
1 - 0
SAM
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
SER
2 - 0
SAM
38%
30%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
TAL
0 - 0
SAM
48%
27%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
GAM
1 - 2
SAM
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |