Le Havre II vs Calais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Havre II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
DIE
0 - 2
LEH
27%
27%
46%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
LEH
1 - 2
SAN
31%
26%
44%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
FLE
0 - 1
LEH
58%
24%
19%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
LEH
3 - 1
LIL
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
IRI
2 - 1
LEH
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CAL
3 - 3
ESW
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 0
DIE
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
AAC
1 - 2
CAL
51%
26%
23%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAL
70%
20%
11%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 2
FLE
29%
27%
45%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |