Le Havre vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
47%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
16º
15º
29
7º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
REN
2 - 2
LHA
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
LHA
1 - 2
BRE
30%
29%
42%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
MPL
2 - 2
LHA
62%
22%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
CLE
1 - 0
LHA
54%
24%
23%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
LHA
0 - 2
LOR
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
LOR
4 - 1
LIL
26%
27%
47%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
LOR
1 - 1
NIC
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
PSG
0 - 0
LOR
74%
16%
10%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BOU
2 - 0
LOR
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
LOR
3 - 1
NAN
48%
26%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |