Le Havre vs Caen analysis

Le Havre Caen
75 ELO 78
-11.9% Tilt 1.4%
464º General ELO ranking 1424º
22º Country ELO ranking 42º
ELO win probability
40.6%
Le Havre
28.9%
Draw
30.6%
Caen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
Le Havre
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
30.6%
Win probability
Caen
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Le Havre
+10%
-17%
Caen

ELO progression

Le Havre
Caen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Le Havre
Le Havre
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 1993
MPL
Montpellier
2 - 1
Le Havre
LHA
53%
26%
21%
75 79 4 0
28 Aug. 1993
LHA
Le Havre
0 - 1
Strasbourg
STR
44%
28%
28%
76 77 1 -1
14 Aug. 1993
LIL
Lille
2 - 2
Le Havre
LHA
42%
29%
29%
76 74 2 0
11 Aug. 1993
LHA
Le Havre
0 - 0
Saint-Étienne
ASS
42%
31%
27%
76 80 4 0
07 Aug. 1993
MAR
Olympique Marseille
1 - 1
Le Havre
LHA
80%
14%
6%
75 91 16 +1

Matches

Caen
Caen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 1993
CAE
Caen
1 - 1
Cannes
CAN
53%
26%
21%
78 79 1 0
28 Aug. 1993
PSG
PSG
2 - 0
Caen
CAE
63%
22%
15%
78 86 8 0
14 Aug. 1993
CAE
Caen
1 - 0
Lens
LEN
57%
24%
19%
78 76 2 0
11 Aug. 1993
FCM
FC Martigues
4 - 1
Caen
CAE
22%
27%
51%
79 57 22 -1
07 Aug. 1993
CAE
Caen
1 - 0
Auxerre
AUX
39%
27%
34%
78 86 8 +1