Le Havre vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1986 |
LHA
1 - 0
TFC
42%
27%
32%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1986 |
PSG
1 - 0
LHA
79%
12%
8%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1986 |
LHA
0 - 1
NAN
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1986 |
REN
2 - 1
LHA
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1986 |
LHA
3 - 0
LEN
40%
27%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1986 |
LIL
2 - 2
BAS
59%
24%
18%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1986 |
BAS
0 - 2
TFC
39%
28%
34%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1986 |
AUX
2 - 0
BAS
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
STR
6 - 1
BAS
50%
27%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1986 |
BAS
0 - 0
MET
30%
28%
41%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |