Haverfordwest County vs Trethomas Bluebirds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 2
HAV
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
HAV
0 - 0
CON
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 2
HAV
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
HAV
1 - 0
CAR
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
HAV
1 - 1
BAR
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Trethomas Bluebirds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
TRE
3 - 2
LID
37%
20%
42%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
TRE
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 1
LLA
32%
24%
45%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TAF
0 - 1
TRE
40%
22%
39%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 4
BAR
9%
15%
76%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | 0 |