Haverfordwest County vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
40.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
5º
5º
78
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 14 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 14 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 1
HAV
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
HAV
1 - 1
CAE
37%
26%
38%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
HAV
1 - 2
PEN
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
BAL
0 - 0
HAV
44%
27%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
TNS
5 - 1
HAV
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
TNS
2 - 1
BAL
60%
20%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
PEN
1 - 0
TNS
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
CAR
0 - 6
TNS
42%
24%
34%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
CAM
0 - 5
TNS
11%
16%
73%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
TNS
2 - 0
CAE
57%
20%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |