Haverfordwest County vs Risca United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.1%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
4.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 0
HAV
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 3
HAV
11%
18%
72%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
HAV
3 - 1
CWM
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
LID
1 - 2
HAV
19%
21%
60%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
GOY
1 - 2
HAV
28%
23%
49%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Risca United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
POR
4 - 2
RIS
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
RIS
1 - 3
MON
31%
21%
48%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
PEN
5 - 1
RIS
87%
9%
4%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
RIS
3 - 2
UND
23%
20%
57%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
RIS
0 - 3
BAR
11%
20%
69%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | -2 |