Haverfordwest County vs Porthmadog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 1
HAV
34%
26%
41%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
HAV
2 - 2
BAN
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
LLA
2 - 0
HAV
72%
16%
12%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
CON
1 - 1
HAV
34%
26%
41%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
HAV
1 - 2
ABE
51%
24%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
CAE
1 - 1
POR
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
RHY
4 - 0
POR
82%
13%
6%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
POR
4 - 0
CON
47%
22%
31%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +3 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
POR
0 - 4
LLA
14%
19%
66%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
CEF
1 - 0
POR
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |