Haverfordwest County vs Porthmadog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
LLA
2 - 1
HAV
76%
15%
9%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
HAV
1 - 1
CAE
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
NEW
4 - 2
HAV
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
RHY
4 - 0
HAV
55%
22%
23%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
HAV
3 - 1
PRE
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
POR
1 - 3
POR
64%
21%
16%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
POR
3 - 3
LLA
14%
18%
69%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2008 |
CAE
0 - 2
POR
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
LEX
2 - 0
POR
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
POR
3 - 1
NEW
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |