Haverfordwest County vs Pontypridd United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
6º
2º
25
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 15 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 12 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 12 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
ABE
1 - 0
HAV
27%
26%
48%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
HAV
2 - 3
BAL
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 1
HAV
25%
26%
50%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
HAV
2 - 0
BAR
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
HAV
0 - 1
TNS
30%
25%
45%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 3
PON
55%
24%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
COL
2 - 3
PON
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 0
PON
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
PON
2 - 0
ABE
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
PON
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |