Haverfordwest County vs Pontypridd United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
11º
8º
13
7º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
38% | 3% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
62% | 97% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
HAV
0 - 4
CAR
70%
17%
14%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
HAV
1 - 1
B36
24%
23%
52%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
B36
2 - 1
HAV
70%
18%
13%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
HAV
1 - 0
SHK
26%
23%
51%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
SHK
1 - 0
HAV
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 4
PON
18%
22%
60%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
PON
1 - 2
NEW
35%
25%
41%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
PON
3 - 2
FLI
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 2
PON
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
HAV
2 - 0
PON
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |