Haverfordwest County vs Pontypridd United analysis

Haverfordwest County Pontypridd United
58 ELO 51
1.9% Tilt 9.3%
2059º General ELO ranking 3552º
Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
59.8%
Haverfordwest County
22.2%
Draw
17.9%
Pontypridd United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
Haverfordwest County
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.9%
Win probability
Pontypridd United
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Haverfordwest County
-3%
-22%
Pontypridd United

Points and table prediction

Haverfordwest County
Their league position
Pontypridd United
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
11º
20
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
The New Saints
60
60
100%
Connah's Quay
44
44
100%
Penybont
41
41
0%
Cardiff MU
41
41
0%
Bala Town
40
40
100%
Newtown
33
33
100%
Haverfordwest County
27
27
100%
Caernarfon Town
25
25
100%
Flint Town United
24
24
100%
Aberystwyth Town
10º
22
22
10º
100%
Pontypridd United
11º
20
20
11º
100%
Airbus UK
12º
0
1
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Haverfordwest County
Pontypridd United
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 100%

ELO progression

Haverfordwest County
Pontypridd United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Haverfordwest County
Haverfordwest County
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Dec. 2022
PON
Pontypridd United
3 - 2
Haverfordwest County
HAV
26%
24%
50%
59 50 9 0
23 Dec. 2022
HAV
Haverfordwest County
3 - 1
Aberystwyth Town
ABE
49%
25%
27%
58 55 3 +1
16 Dec. 2022
CAR
Cardiff MU
2 - 0
Haverfordwest County
HAV
53%
24%
23%
58 64 6 0
11 Dec. 2022
NEW
Newtown
2 - 0
Haverfordwest County
HAV
58%
23%
19%
59 66 7 -1
02 Dec. 2022
HAV
Haverfordwest County
2 - 1
Penybont
PEN
29%
27%
44%
58 64 6 +1

Matches

Pontypridd United
Pontypridd United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Dec. 2022
PON
Pontypridd United
3 - 2
Haverfordwest County
HAV
26%
24%
50%
50 59 9 0
23 Dec. 2022
PON
Pontypridd United
0 - 1
Penybont
PEN
16%
24%
61%
50 64 14 0
16 Dec. 2022
NEW
Newtown
4 - 2
Pontypridd United
PON
66%
21%
13%
50 67 17 0
02 Dec. 2022
PON
Pontypridd United
0 - 1
Cardiff MU
CAR
32%
28%
40%
51 64 13 -1
18 Nov. 2022
ABE
Aberystwyth Town
2 - 1
Pontypridd United
PON
63%
20%
17%
51 56 5 0