Haverfordwest County vs Llanelli AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
50.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
PRE
3 - 0
HAV
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
ABE
0 - 0
HAV
43%
24%
33%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
HAV
1 - 0
WEL
59%
23%
19%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
HAV
2 - 0
NEA
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
HAV
0 - 1
POR
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
POR
0 - 0
LLA
32%
25%
43%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
LLA
2 - 2
AIR
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2009 |
LLA
0 - 3
MHE
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
MHE
0 - 1
LLA
51%
22%
27%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
LLA
4 - 1
CON
83%
11%
5%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |