Haverfordwest County vs Grange Quins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2006 |
HAV
1 - 1
ABE
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
AIR
1 - 2
HAV
22%
25%
53%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
CON
1 - 1
HAV
26%
26%
48%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
HAV
1 - 2
CAR
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
CAR
2 - 3
HAV
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Grange Quins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
GRA
0 - 2
POR
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
POR
4 - 0
GRA
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
CEF
7 - 0
GRA
42%
24%
34%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
GRA
2 - 5
ABE
30%
25%
46%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
GRA
0 - 1
AIR
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |