Haverfordwest County vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
6º
3º
26
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 2
HAV
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
HAV
1 - 0
CAR
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
HAV
1 - 1
BAR
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
ABE
0 - 3
HAV
26%
27%
48%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 0
HAV
50%
24%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
CON
3 - 0
ABE
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CAE
3 - 1
CON
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
CON
1 - 1
NEW
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
CON
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
CON
3 - 2
CAE
42%
23%
35%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |