Haverfordwest County vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
61%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
27%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
HAV
2 - 2
NEW
32%
25%
42%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 0
HAV
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
GOY
0 - 2
HAV
18%
21%
61%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
SUF
1 - 1
HAV
44%
23%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
HAV
2 - 0
AAF
83%
12%
5%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
CON
1 - 0
PEN
79%
15%
6%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
CON
0 - 1
DTB
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
CON
1 - 1
BAL
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
CON
0 - 2
SAR
36%
25%
38%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
BAL
2 - 2
CON
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |