Haverfordwest County vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
73.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
CAE
5 - 5
HAV
40%
23%
37%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
HAV
0 - 0
TAF
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
HAV
1 - 0
CAM
70%
19%
12%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
HAV
1 - 0
LID
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
HAV
2 - 2
GOY
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
BAL
0 - 0
CON
46%
26%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
CON
5 - 1
AIR
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
AIR
0 - 3
CON
24%
25%
51%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
CON
0 - 3
TNS
42%
26%
33%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
CEF
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |