Haverfordwest County vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
POR
1 - 0
HAV
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
WEL
1 - 3
HAV
35%
26%
38%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
HAV
1 - 1
AIR
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2010 |
HAV
0 - 1
ABE
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
ABE
2 - 1
HAV
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
CON
1 - 0
TNS
20%
25%
55%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
LID
2 - 1
CON
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
RHY
4 - 1
CON
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
CON
0 - 1
BAL
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
POR
0 - 1
CON
45%
23%
32%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |