Haverfordwest County vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2008 |
NEA
1 - 1
HAV
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
POR
1 - 2
HAV
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
HAV
4 - 2
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
LLA
2 - 1
HAV
76%
15%
9%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
HAV
1 - 1
CAE
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
CON
3 - 1
LLA
16%
20%
65%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
CAE
0 - 2
CON
33%
25%
42%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
CON
3 - 3
NEW
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2008 |
PRE
1 - 1
CON
55%
23%
23%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
CON
2 - 3
CEF
61%
21%
17%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |