Haverfordwest County vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
22%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
HAV
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
CEF
0 - 2
HAV
17%
20%
63%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
HAV
0 - 0
ABE
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 0
HAV
49%
23%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
HAV
2 - 2
PEN
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
CEF
3 - 3
ABE
16%
21%
63%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
CEF
0 - 2
HAV
17%
20%
63%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
CEF
1 - 4
TNS
8%
16%
76%
|
39 | 69 | 30 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
TNS
5 - 1
CEF
90%
8%
2%
|
39 | 69 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
ABE
5 - 0
CEF
81%
12%
7%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |