Haverfordwest County vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2005 |
ABE
1 - 1
HAV
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
HAV
1 - 1
AIR
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2005 |
CWM
3 - 2
HAV
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
HAV
2 - 0
CON
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
HAV
1 - 1
CAE
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
GRA
3 - 1
CEF
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2005 |
CEF
1 - 1
POR
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
CEF
2 - 2
ABE
25%
25%
50%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
CEF
0 - 3
RHY
19%
23%
58%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
CEF
3 - 0
LID
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |