Haverfordwest County vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2002 |
LLA
1 - 3
HAV
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
HAV
2 - 2
NEW
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
CON
3 - 1
HAV
66%
21%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
HAV
3 - 1
CAE
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2002 |
BAR
3 - 0
HAV
74%
16%
10%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2002 |
CEF
0 - 1
TNS
23%
24%
53%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
POR
2 - 1
CEF
65%
19%
16%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
ABE
3 - 0
CEF
69%
19%
13%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
CEF
4 - 0
LLA
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
NEW
1 - 2
CEF
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |