Haverfordwest County vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
CON
1 - 0
HAV
43%
24%
33%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
HAV
2 - 1
BAN
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
BAR
3 - 1
HAV
76%
15%
9%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
HAV
0 - 5
ABE
30%
25%
46%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2000 |
HAV
1 - 1
LLA
29%
24%
46%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
CEF
3 - 2
CWM
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2000 |
CEF
3 - 1
CON
49%
24%
28%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
NEW
4 - 1
CEF
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
CEF
0 - 2
RHA
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2000 |
BAN
3 - 3
CEF
66%
19%
14%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |