Haverfordwest County vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
47.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
HAV
2 - 1
CEF
74%
16%
10%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
HAV
1 - 3
BAL
18%
22%
60%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 1
HAV
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 2
HAV
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
HAV
1 - 1
CON
18%
25%
57%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
CON
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
COL
1 - 0
CAR
15%
21%
64%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 1
CAR
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 2
HAV
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
4 - 2
CEF
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |