Haverfordwest County vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.2%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
4.6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 1
HAV
53%
22%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
HAV
3 - 3
TAF
57%
22%
22%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
HAV
2 - 3
WES
65%
19%
16%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
HAV
3 - 5
LLA
12%
19%
69%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 3
HAV
20%
22%
58%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
MON
3 - 1
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
PON
24%
24%
52%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
TAT
3 - 0
CAR
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 3
HAV
20%
22%
58%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
WES
2 - 0
CAR
65%
19%
16%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |