Haverfordwest County vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
5º
2º
36
3º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
38 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
44 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 13 |
4º
|
71% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 12 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
6º
|
2 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 71% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 29% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
HAV
2 - 0
PON
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FLI
0 - 2
HAV
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
HAV
2 - 2
CAE
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
HAV
4 - 0
AIR
73%
17%
9%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 1
HAV
39%
24%
37%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 1
AIR
83%
12%
6%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PON
1 - 1
ABE
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 0
FLI
40%
25%
36%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
CAE
0 - 1
ABE
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 1
HAV
39%
24%
37%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |