Haverfordwest County vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
HAV
1 - 1
POR
38%
27%
36%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
AIR
3 - 1
HAV
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
HAV
2 - 1
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
HAV
1 - 1
LLA
27%
23%
51%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
PRE
3 - 0
HAV
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
ABE
0 - 3
AIR
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 0
ABE
54%
24%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
ABE
2 - 3
PRE
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
ABE
1 - 1
WEL
55%
23%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
ABE
0 - 0
HAV
43%
24%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |