Havelse vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
79.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
17%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Havelse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
OBE
0 - 2
HAV
54%
21%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2020 |
BUR
0 - 7
HAV
13%
18%
69%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
HES
4 - 1
HAV
35%
24%
41%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
HAV
1 - 2
EIN
41%
24%
35%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
HAV
3 - 1
HSC
66%
19%
14%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
HOF
2 - 1
M05
67%
19%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
M05
0 - 1
SVS
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
M05
6 - 0
WUR
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
LEV
1 - 0
M05
68%
19%
14%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
M05
3 - 1
BRE
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |