Q. Europa League 2nd Round Final
Global 2-3
Haugesund vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haugesund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
ODD
0 - 0
HAU
49%
24%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
SAR
0 - 1
HAU
52%
23%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
HAU
2 - 0
STB
63%
21%
17%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
HAU
2 - 1
AIR
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
RBK
5 - 3
HAU
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
SAR
0 - 1
HAU
52%
23%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2014 |
MEZ
0 - 4
SAR
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 0
SAR
33%
25%
41%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
SAR
3 - 1
ČEL
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
SAR
3 - 2
RAD
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |