Hassocks vs Pagham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
67.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hassocks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
HAS
2 - 1
ALF
16%
19%
65%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
EAS
4 - 1
HAS
31%
22%
47%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
LOX
1 - 0
HAS
24%
21%
56%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
HAS
1 - 2
HOR
25%
20%
55%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
HAS
0 - 3
EAS
27%
21%
52%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Pagham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
PAG
0 - 4
NEW
19%
20%
62%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
PAG
0 - 1
BEX
32%
22%
46%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
PAG
2 - 3
EAS
56%
21%
24%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
VAR
2 - 3
PAG
8%
14%
77%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
PEA
0 - 2
PAG
19%
19%
62%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |