Hartley Wintney vs Beaconsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
14.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartley Wintney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
WES
1 - 3
HAR
67%
18%
16%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
HAY
6 - 1
HAR
81%
13%
6%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
WAL
2 - 1
HAR
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
HAR
0 - 1
GOS
39%
25%
36%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
WHI
0 - 0
HAR
76%
16%
8%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
YAT
4 - 0
BEA
63%
20%
18%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BEA
3 - 5
HAV
12%
20%
68%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
WHI
0 - 1
BEA
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
WAL
2 - 5
BEA
34%
24%
42%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BEA
2 - 2
WAL
60%
22%
19%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |