Hartley Wintney vs Beaconsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
34.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartley Wintney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2018 |
HAR
2 - 1
ASH
66%
17%
17%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
HAN
2 - 4
HAR
20%
20%
60%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
HAR
2 - 0
BED
61%
19%
20%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
NOR
3 - 1
HAR
22%
20%
58%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -3 |
| 19 Dec. 2017 |
UXB
2 - 2
HAR
23%
20%
57%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2018 |
BEA
1 - 0
MON
71%
16%
14%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
BEA
3 - 2
CAM
47%
23%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
UXB
1 - 3
BEA
29%
23%
49%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
BEA
3 - 1
EGH
62%
20%
19%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
CHA
4 - 2
BEA
29%
24%
48%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |