Hartley Wintney vs AFC Dunstable analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
25.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartley Wintney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
HAR
3 - 4
AYL
73%
16%
12%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
KEM
1 - 0
HAR
30%
22%
48%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ASH
0 - 1
HAR
29%
21%
50%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
HAR
2 - 0
FLE
80%
12%
8%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
HAR
4 - 0
UXB
81%
12%
7%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Dunstable
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
AFD
6 - 1
HAN
85%
11%
5%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
BEA
4 - 0
AFD
57%
20%
23%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
BED
0 - 2
AFD
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
AFD
1 - 0
BAR
79%
13%
8%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
RUS
1 - 0
AFD
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |