Harstad vs Mjølner analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
26.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
KFU
2 - 1
HAR
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 5
VAL
49%
22%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
SKE
0 - 0
HAR
57%
21%
21%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
LYN
1 - 2
HAR
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 2
STA
42%
23%
35%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mjølner
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
MJO
2 - 0
LYN
40%
23%
37%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2015 |
STA
4 - 0
MJO
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
MJO
0 - 5
GRO
35%
24%
41%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
HOL
1 - 2
MJO
44%
22%
35%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
MJO
0 - 1
BOG
13%
21%
67%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |