Harstad vs HamKam II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
38.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
4º
12º
4º
35
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2024 |
MJO
2 - 2
HAR
48%
21%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
HAR
2 - 4
FLO
34%
22%
45%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
IFC
0 - 3
HAR
28%
21%
51%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
HAR
2 - 2
FFK
40%
21%
40%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SIK
3 - 1
HAR
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
HamKam II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
HAM
6 - 1
FYL
72%
15%
13%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
SJE
2 - 5
HAM
44%
21%
35%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 3
ILU
89%
8%
3%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
HAM
4 - 2
ELV
20%
18%
62%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +4 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MJO
2 - 2
HAM
53%
20%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |