Harstad vs Bodø / Glimt II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
11%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
4º
12º
4º
5
12º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
KON
0 - 1
HAR
70%
16%
14%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
MJO
5 - 3
HAR
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BOS
5 - 3
HAR
25%
21%
54%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
HAR
4 - 3
LIL
32%
22%
46%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
GIF
2 - 1
HAR
84%
10%
6%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Bodø / Glimt II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FBG
0 - 1
ELV
10%
14%
75%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
HAM
5 - 0
FBG
65%
17%
18%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ROS
2 - 3
FBG
62%
18%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FBG
8 - 0
STE
50%
20%
31%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
TIL
1 - 1
FBG
72%
16%
13%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |