Harrow Borough vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
34.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 0
STA
41%
24%
35%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
VCD
2 - 3
HAR
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
STA
1 - 1
HAR
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 2
BOG
16%
22%
63%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 2
NEE
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
WIN
1 - 3
EAS
17%
19%
64%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
WIN
1 - 1
HEN
43%
23%
35%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
LEW
0 - 0
WIN
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
BRE
0 - 1
WIN
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
WIN
1 - 1
LEA
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |