Harrow Borough vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
40.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
BOG
1 - 0
HAR
68%
19%
14%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 0
MER
31%
24%
46%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
EBB
4 - 2
HAR
78%
15%
7%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 2
DUL
25%
24%
51%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 4
KIN
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
YEL
3 - 0
BUR
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
YEL
2 - 1
GOS
44%
23%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
YEL
1 - 2
HAR
39%
25%
37%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
BIL
2 - 3
YEL
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
KIN
1 - 3
YEL
44%
22%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |