Harrogate Town vs Nottingham Forest Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
19.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
TOW
0 - 1
BAR
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
TOW
0 - 8
BBU
16%
22%
62%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
TOW
2 - 0
MOR
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
STA
2 - 1
TOW
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
TRA
3 - 0
TOW
35%
27%
39%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
BHA
1 - 0
NOT
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
NOT
2 - 0
ARS
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 2
NOT
54%
22%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
NOT
2 - 2
MID
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
LUS
3 - 0
NOT
52%
23%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |