Harrogate Railway vs Padiham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.9%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
5.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Railway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
OSS
3 - 1
HAR
20%
22%
58%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 2
HAR
21%
21%
58%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 2
PRE
78%
14%
8%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 5
DAR
29%
24%
48%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
PAD
1 - 1
HAR
12%
17%
71%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Padiham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
PAD
1 - 1
BRI
25%
22%
52%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
PAD
0 - 6
SAL
14%
18%
68%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
BUR
1 - 1
PAD
76%
15%
10%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
PAD
1 - 3
DAR
12%
17%
71%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
PAD
1 - 1
HAR
12%
17%
71%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | +1 |