Harrogate Railway vs Garforth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
47.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Railway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
PRE
5 - 2
HAR
29%
23%
48%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
RAD
2 - 1
HAR
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
HAR
1 - 3
WAR
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
WIT
4 - 0
HAR
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
TRA
1 - 2
HAR
39%
23%
38%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Garforth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
GAR
3 - 1
BAM
47%
24%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
OSS
2 - 5
GAR
13%
19%
68%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
GAR
1 - 0
WAK
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BUX
4 - 2
GAR
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
GAR
2 - 1
TRA
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |