Harrogate Railway vs Curzon Ashton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
64.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Railway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SAL
1 - 4
HAR
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
HAR
0 - 4
WOS
13%
20%
67%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 6
WIT
12%
20%
68%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BAM
3 - 2
HAR
68%
18%
15%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 3
OSS
42%
23%
35%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CUR
1 - 1
WAK
81%
14%
6%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
OSS
1 - 3
CUR
17%
22%
61%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
CUR
2 - 1
WOS
56%
23%
22%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
DUR
1 - 3
CUR
29%
24%
47%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
CUR
3 - 1
BAM
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |