USM El Harrach vs Msila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM El Harrach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
ETO
0 - 0
HAR
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
HAR
0 - 0
BOU
46%
28%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
KOU
1 - 0
HAR
37%
29%
34%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
HAR
1 - 0
BEJ
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
AMA
0 - 1
HAR
44%
28%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Msila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
MSI
3 - 2
USM
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
MOB
1 - 0
MSI
62%
24%
15%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 1
MSI
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
MSI
2 - 3
ETO
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
BOU
1 - 0
MSI
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |