USM El Harrach vs Tlemcen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
19%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM El Harrach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 1
HAR
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
HAR
3 - 1
EUL
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
KHR
1 - 0
HAR
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
BEJ
1 - 1
HAR
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2011 |
HAR
1 - 0
CAB
63%
23%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Tlemcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
TLE
2 - 1
CAB
64%
22%
15%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ALG
3 - 1
TLE
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
TLE
2 - 1
CHL
40%
28%
33%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SET
3 - 1
TLE
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2011 |
TLE
0 - 0
HUS
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |