USM El Harrach vs NA Hussein Dey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
10.6%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
18.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
11.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM El Harrach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 0
ASM
62%
24%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
USM
0 - 1
HAR
22%
28%
50%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 1
SAO
61%
24%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
HAR
2 - 1
BEL
60%
25%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
JSK
1 - 0
HAR
39%
29%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
NA Hussein Dey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
HUS
0 - 3
BEL
43%
30%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ASM
2 - 1
HUS
47%
29%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
HUS
2 - 1
USM
30%
31%
38%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
HUS
1 - 0
SAO
38%
29%
33%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
CHL
0 - 0
HUS
58%
26%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |